FT · Italy: Serie A · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Udinese 0–2 AC MilanMatch recap · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Udinese win
26%
Draw
25%
AC Milan win
49%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.7
Total 2.9
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.4 – 3.1
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.