RB Leipzig beat PSV Eindhoven 1–0. RB Leipzig had 19 shots (7 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 11 (5), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.4.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
RB Leipzig beat PSV Eindhoven 1–0. RB Leipzig had 19 shots (7 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 11 (5), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.4.
RB Leipzig 1–0 PSV Eindhoven, played on 13 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with RB Leipzig 54%, the draw 22% and PSV Eindhoven 24%.
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.4, Shots 19–11, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 15–8, Big chances 3–2, Corners 6–12, Saves 5–6, Fouls 13–12, Offsides 0–6, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 1–0, so PSV Eindhoven failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.