RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven prediction — Champions League · Tue 13 Oct · 20:00 UK

Champions League · Tue 13 Oct · 20:00 UK
54RB Leipzig win22Draw24PSV Eindhoven win
Full time
1–0

How it finished

RB Leipzig beat PSV Eindhoven 1–0. RB Leipzig had 19 shots (7 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 11 (5), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.4.

RB LeipzigFull-time statsPSV Eindhoven
42%Possession58%
2.1Expected goals (xG)1.4
19Shots11
7Shots on target5
15Shots inside box8
3Big chances2
6Corners12
5Saves6
13Fouls12
0Offsides6
1Yellow cards2
We predicted
2–1
RB Leipzig to win · 9% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.2v1.4
3.6 in total
Both teams score
67%
Yes
3+ goals
70%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

RB LeipzigRB LeipzigPSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
2.2Goals1.4
16.1Shots14.2
7.2On target8.0
5.6Corners6.8
RB LeipzigRB LeipzigPSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
1.1Goals0.7
7.3Shots6.3
3.5On target3.4
2.6Corners3.2
RB LeipzigRB LeipzigPSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
1.1Goals0.7
8.8Shots7.9
3.7On target4.6
3.0Corners3.6

What we said the chances were

RB Leipzig to score89%
2 or more goals88%
Goal before half-time83%
PSV Eindhoven to score76%

First half — what we expected

RB Leipzig
66%
to score before half-time
PSV Eindhoven
50%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

RB LeipzigRB LeipzigPSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
67%6+ shots56%
43%8+ shots32%
82%2+ shots on target82%
44%4+ shots on target44%
69%2+ corners78%
28%4+ corners39%

League position

PSV Eindhoven in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →RB Leipzig form →PSV Eindhoven form →

Common questions

Who won RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?

RB Leipzig beat PSV Eindhoven 1–0. RB Leipzig had 19 shots (7 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 11 (5), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.4.

What was the final score in RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?

RB Leipzig 1–0 PSV Eindhoven, played on 13 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with RB Leipzig 54%, the draw 22% and PSV Eindhoven 24%.

What were the stats in RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?

Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.4, Shots 19–11, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 15–8, Big chances 3–2, Corners 6–12, Saves 5–6, Fouls 13–12, Offsides 0–6, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?

No. It finished 1–0, so PSV Eindhoven failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.