FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Sunday, 20 September 2026
FC Twente 3–2 PSV EindhovenMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
FC Twente win
39%
Result
Draw
24%
PSV Eindhoven win
37%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.7
Total 3.4
Actual
3 – 2
Total 5 (+1.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.4 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced 1.6 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.