How it finished
Middlesbrough beat Queens Park Rangers 1–0. Bawler's model had Middlesbrough in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Queens Park Rangers had 16 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 16 (6), with 52% of the ball against 48%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough?
Middlesbrough beat Queens Park Rangers 1–0. Bawler's model had Middlesbrough in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Queens Park Rangers had 16 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 16 (6), with 52% of the ball against 48%.
What was the final score in Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough?
Queens Park Rangers 0–1 Middlesbrough, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Queens Park Rangers 28%, the draw 27% and Middlesbrough 45%.
What were the stats in Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Shots 16–16, Shots on target 5–6, Corners 12–3, Saves 5–5, Fouls 3–8, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough?
No. It finished 0–1, so Queens Park Rangers failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Middlesbrough or draw 72%, it finished Middlesbrough won (45% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No.