Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough prediction — Championship · Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 UK
Queens Park Rangers 28Draw 28Middlesbrough 44
The call
44%
Middlesbrough to win
2.5
Goals expected
13d 13hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Queens Park Rangers or draw56%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals47%
BTTS51%
Queens Park Rangers win to nil16%
Middlesbrough or draw72%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Correct score 1–112%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L L L D W D
Expected goals gap (xG)-0.4 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
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Common questions

Who will win Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough?

Bawler's model rates this match: Middlesbrough are favoured (44% win probability vs 28% for Queens Park Rangers, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Middlesbrough (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.54.

How does Bawler predict Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Queens Park Rangers 28%, the draw 28% and Middlesbrough 44%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough?

BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.09 and away expected goals 1.45.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.54. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Queens Park Rangers form →Middlesbrough form →