Preston North End vs Bristol City prediction — Championship · Tue 1 Sept · 19:45 UK

Championship · Tue 1 Sept · 19:45 UK
Preston North End 41Draw 27Bristol City 32
The call
77%
Over 1.5 goals
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

Bristol City beat Preston North End 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Preston North End at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Bristol City 32%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Preston North End had 18 shots (4 on target) to Bristol City's 12 (7), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.9.

Preston North…Full-time statsBristol City
52%Possession48%
1.8Expected goals (xG)1.9
18Shots12
4Shots on target7
9Shots inside box9
3Big chances3
5Corners2
4Saves3
11Fouls14
2Offsides3
2Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultPreston North End 41%Bristol City (32% called)
Total goals2.84
Both teams to score57%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 77%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected · full match

Preston North EndBristol City
1.5Goals1.3
12.3Shots14.5
4.0On target4.7
4.9Corners5.4

What we expected

MarketProbability
Preston North End to score78%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Bristol City to score73%
Under 3.5 goals69%

First half — what we expected

Preston North End
44%
to score before half-time
Bristol City
55%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

Preston North EndBristol City
5.81st-half shots6.9
1.81st-half shots on target2.1
2.31st-half corners2.5

First-half chances

50%Chance of 6+ shots63%
26%Chance of 8+ shots38%
80%Chance of 1+ shots on target84%
28%Chance of 3+ shots on target35%
62%Chance of 2+ corners67%
22%Chance of 4+ corners26%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Preston North End5.86.5
Shots · Bristol City6.97.6
Shots on target · Preston North End1.82.2
Shots on target · Bristol City2.12.6
Corners · Preston North End2.32.6
Corners · Bristol City2.52.8
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's last six first halves.

Second half — who scores?

What we read at half-time appears here once it loads.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5PRE 2 · D 2 · BRI 1
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Jan 2026Bristol City 0–2 Preston North End
Sept 2025Preston North End 0–0 Bristol City
May 2025Bristol City 2–2 Preston North End
Nov 2024Preston North End 1–3 Bristol City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Preston North End vs Bristol City?

Bristol City beat Preston North End 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Preston North End at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Bristol City 32%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Preston North End had 18 shots (4 on target) to Bristol City's 12 (7), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.9.

What was the final score in Preston North End vs Bristol City?

Preston North End 1–3 Bristol City, played on 01 Sept 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Preston North End 41%, the draw 27% and Bristol City 32%.

What were the stats in Preston North End vs Bristol City?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.9, Shots 18–12, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 9–9, Big chances 3–3, Corners 5–2, Saves 4–3, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 2–0.

Did both teams score in Preston North End vs Bristol City?

Yes — both Preston North End and Bristol City scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Preston North End vs Bristol City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Preston North End 41%, it finished Bristol City (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Preston North End form →Bristol City form →