Bristol City beat Preston North End 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Preston North End at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Bristol City 32%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Preston North End had 18 shots (4 on target) to Bristol City's 12 (7), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's last six first halves.
What we read at half-time appears here once it loads.
Bristol City beat Preston North End 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Preston North End at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Bristol City 32%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Preston North End had 18 shots (4 on target) to Bristol City's 12 (7), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.9.
Preston North End 1–3 Bristol City, played on 01 Sept 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Preston North End 41%, the draw 27% and Bristol City 32%.
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.9, Shots 18–12, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 9–9, Big chances 3–3, Corners 5–2, Saves 4–3, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 2–0.
Yes — both Preston North End and Bristol City scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Preston North End 41%, it finished Bristol City (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 53%, it finished Landed.