Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC prediction — MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 03:30 UK

MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 03:30 UK
Portland Timbers 40Draw 25San Diego FC 35
The call
81%
Over 1.5 goals
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1

How it finished

Portland Timbers beat San Diego FC 3–1. Bawler's model had Portland Timbers in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Portland Timbers had 11 shots (5 on target) to San Diego FC's 21 (6), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.4.

Portland…Full-time statsSan Diego FC
30%Possession70%
1.6Expected goals (xG)1.4
11Shots21
5Shots on target6
6Shots inside box13
3Big chances1
0Corners7
5Saves2
15Fouls11
3Offsides1
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultPortland Timbers 40%Portland Timbers (40% called)
Total goals3.14
Both teams to score61%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 81%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals81%
Portland Timbers to score79%
San Diego FC to score77%
Under 3.5 goals64%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5POR 1 · D 1 · SAN 3
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Apr 2026San Diego FC 1–2 Portland Timbers
Nov 2025San Diego FC 4–0 Portland Timbers
Nov 2025Portland Timbers 2–2 San Diego FC
Oct 2025San Diego FC 2–1 Portland Timbers
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC?

Portland Timbers beat San Diego FC 3–1. Bawler's model had Portland Timbers in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Portland Timbers had 11 shots (5 on target) to San Diego FC's 21 (6), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC?

Portland Timbers 3–1 San Diego FC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Portland Timbers 40%, the draw 25% and San Diego FC 35%.

What were the stats in Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC?

Full-time: Possession 30%–70%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–1.4, Shots 11–21, Shots on target 5–6, Shots inside box 6–13, Big chances 3–1, Corners 0–7, Saves 5–2, Fouls 15–11, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC?

Yes — both Portland Timbers and San Diego FC scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Portland Timbers 40%, it finished Portland Timbers (40% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 81%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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