NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction — Eredivisie · Sun 20 Sept · 15:45 UK

Eredivisie · Sun 20 Sept · 15:45 UK
NEC Nijmegen 62Draw 20Go Ahead Eagles 18
The call
62%
NEC Nijmegen to win
3.5
Goals expected
14d 05hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

NEC Nijmegen to score90%
Over 1.5 goals87%
Go Ahead Eagles to score70%
Over 2.5 goals68%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

NEC Nijmegen
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Tjaronn Chery
MF · 4.0 shots expected
98%
80%
47%
Koki Ogawa
FW · 3.7 shots expected
97%
78%
45%
Bryan Linssen
FW · 3.5 shots expected
97%
79%
47%
Noé Lebreton
MF · 2.8 shots expected
94%
66%
30%
Sami Ouaissa
MF · 2.5 shots expected
92%
56%
20%
Basar Önal
MF · 2.5 shots expected
92%
62%
26%
Go Ahead Eagles
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Mathis Suray
MF · 1.8 shots expected
83%
55%
19%
Milan Smit
FW · 1.6 shots expected
81%
56%
20%
Victor Edvardsen
FW · 1.4 shots expected
75%
47%
13%
Thibo Baeten
MF · 1.3 shots expected
74%
41%
10%
Jakob Breum
MF · 1.3 shots expected
71%
48%
14%
Richonell Margaret
MF · 1.2 shots expected
69%
27%
4%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W L L W W W
Expected goals gap (xG)+1.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5NEC 1 · D 1 · GOG 3
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

May 2026NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Go Ahead Eagles
Oct 2025Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 NEC Nijmegen
Mar 2025NEC Nijmegen 2–3 Go Ahead Eagles
Dec 2024Go Ahead Eagles 5–0 NEC Nijmegen
Build a combination on this match →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Bawler's model rates this match: NEC Nijmegen are favoured (62% win probability vs 18% for Go Ahead Eagles, 20% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is NEC Nijmegen 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles (9.5% probability). Expected total goals: 3.53.

How does Bawler predict NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives NEC Nijmegen 62%, the draw 20% and Go Ahead Eagles 18%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

BTTS: Yes (63% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.34 and away expected goals 1.19.

Over or under 2.5 goals in NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.53. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →NEC Nijmegen form →Go Ahead Eagles form →