Millwall vs West Ham United prediction — Championship · Sat 19 Sept · 12:30 UK

Championship · Sat 19 Sept · 12:30 UK
Millwall 27Draw 26West Ham United 47
The call
73%
West Ham United or draw
2.8
Goals expected
14d 01hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

West Ham United to score81%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Millwall to score70%
Under 3.5 goals68%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

Millwall
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Femi Azeez
MF · 2.3 shots expected
90%
49%
15%
Mihailo Ivanovic
FW · 2.0 shots expected
86%
58%
21%
Josh Coburn
FW · 1.9 shots expected
85%
55%
19%
Thierno Ballo
MF · 1.4 shots expected
75%
38%
8%
Macaulay Langstaff
MF · 1.3 shots expected
73%
40%
9%
Camiel Neghli
MF · 1.3 shots expected
72%
30%
5%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W W W W L L
Expected goals gap (xG)-0.5 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
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Common questions

Who will win Millwall vs West Ham United?

Bawler's model rates this match: West Ham United are favoured (47% win probability vs 27% for Millwall, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Millwall vs West Ham United?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Millwall 1-1 West Ham United (12.2% probability). Expected total goals: 2.84.

How does Bawler predict Millwall vs West Ham United?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Millwall 27%, the draw 26% and West Ham United 47%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Millwall vs West Ham United?

BTTS: Yes (56% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.19 and away expected goals 1.65.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Millwall vs West Ham United?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.84. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Millwall form →West Ham United form →