FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Blackburn Rovers 3–1 MillwallMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Blackburn Rovers win
34%
Result
Draw
28%
Millwall win
38%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.3
Total 2.6
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+1.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 1.4
From the match itself
The match produced 1.4 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.