FT · England: Championship · Friday, 09 October 2026
West Ham United 1–1 Queens Park RangersMatch recap & how our call landed · Friday, 09 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was West Ham United to win at 67%. Bawler had West Ham United at 67%, the draw at 20% and Queens Park Rangers at 14%. The match finished 1–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
West Ham United win
67%
Draw
20%
Result
Queens Park Rangers win
14%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.3 – 0.9
Total 3.2
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.2 against our forecast)
The match produced 1.2 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
West Ham United to win
Pre-match: 67%
Missed
Medium confidence
Both teams to score
Pre-match: 55%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 40%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.