Real Betis beat Lille 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Lille at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Real Betis 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Lille had 6 shots (2 on target) to Real Betis' 20 (5), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 62%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Real Betis beat Lille 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Lille at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Real Betis 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Lille had 6 shots (2 on target) to Real Betis' 20 (5), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.8.
Lille 2–3 Real Betis, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lille 48%, the draw 26% and Real Betis 26%.
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.8, Shots 6–20, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 4–10, Big chances 1–3, Corners 5–5, Saves 2–0, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 1–3, Red cards 1–0.
Yes — both Lille and Real Betis scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lille or draw 74%, it finished Real Betis won (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.