Lille vs Real Betis prediction — Champions League · Tue 8 Sept · 20:00 UK

Champions League · Tue 8 Sept · 20:00 UK
Lille 48Draw 26Real Betis 26
Our call before kickoff
74%
Lille or draw
Missed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
62%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

Real Betis beat Lille 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Lille at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Real Betis 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Lille had 6 shots (2 on target) to Real Betis' 20 (5), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.8.

LilleFull-time statsReal Betis
45%Possession55%
1.0Expected goals (xG)1.8
6Shots20
2Shots on target5
4Shots inside box10
1Big chances3
5Corners5
2Saves0
11Fouls13
4Offsides0
1Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLille or draw 74%Real Betis won (26% called)
Total goals2.85
Both teams to score56%Yes
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

LilleReal Betis
1.6
Goals+0.5
1.2
19.7
Shots+9.4
10.3
6.9
On target+1.9
5.0
8.4
Corners+3.7
4.7
LilleReal Betis
0.4
Goals
0.4
9.1
Shots+4.2
4.9
3.0
On target+0.6
2.4
4.0
Corners+1.7
2.2
LilleReal Betis
1.3
Goals+0.5
0.8
10.6
Shots+5.2
5.4
3.9
On target+1.2
2.6
4.5
Corners+2.0
2.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Lille to score81%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals69%
Real Betis to score69%

First half — what we expected

Lille
37%
to score before half-time
Real Betis
40%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 62%

LilleReal Betis
9.11st-half shots4.9
3.01st-half shots on target2.4
4.01st-half corners2.2

First-half chances

63%Chance of 8+ shots17%
42%Chance of 10+ shots<10%
76%Chance of 2+ shots on target65%
36%Chance of 4+ shots on target24%
71%Chance of 3+ corners37%
36%Chance of 5+ corners11%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Lille9.110.6
Shots · Real Betis4.95.4
Shots on target · Lille3.03.9
Shots on target · Real Betis2.42.6
Corners · Lille4.04.5
Corners · Real Betis2.22.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 1Lille 0 · Draws 1 · Real Betis 0
Real Betis in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Jul 2018Real Betis 2–2 Lille
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Lille vs Real Betis?

Real Betis beat Lille 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Lille at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Real Betis 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Lille had 6 shots (2 on target) to Real Betis' 20 (5), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.8.

What was the final score in Lille vs Real Betis?

Lille 2–3 Real Betis, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lille 48%, the draw 26% and Real Betis 26%.

What were the stats in Lille vs Real Betis?

Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.8, Shots 6–20, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 4–10, Big chances 1–3, Corners 5–5, Saves 2–0, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 1–3, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Lille vs Real Betis?

Yes — both Lille and Real Betis scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Lille vs Real Betis right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lille or draw 74%, it finished Real Betis won (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Lille form →Real Betis form →