Sporting CP beat Lens 2–0. Lens had 21 shots (6 on target) to Sporting CP's 11 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 1.7, so Lens created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Sporting CP beat Lens 2–0. Lens had 21 shots (6 on target) to Sporting CP's 11 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 1.7, so Lens created the better chances and still lost the game.
Lens 0–2 Sporting CP, played on 13 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lens 45%, the draw 25% and Sporting CP 31%.
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.7, Shots 21–11, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 11–8, Big chances 1–3, Corners 6–3, Saves 3–6, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–0.
No. It finished 0–2, so Lens failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.