Lens vs Sporting CP prediction — Champions League · Tue 13 Oct · 17:45 UK

Champions League · Tue 13 Oct · 17:45 UK
45Lens win25Draw31Sporting CP win
Full time
0–2

How it finished

Sporting CP beat Lens 2–0. Lens had 21 shots (6 on target) to Sporting CP's 11 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 1.7, so Lens created the better chances and still lost the game.

LensFull-time statsSporting CP
56%Possession44%
1.7Expected goals (xG)1.7
21Shots11
6Shots on target5
11Shots inside box8
1Big chances3
6Corners3
3Saves6
8Fouls12
1Offsides0
2Yellow cards0
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Lens win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.7v1.4
3.2 in total
Both teams score
63%
Yes
3+ goals
61%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

LensLensSporting CPSporting CP
1.7Goals1.4
10.7Shots16.4
4.9On target7.1
5.2Corners5.2
LensLensSporting CPSporting CP
0.6Goals0.6
5.0Shots7.3
2.3On target3.1
2.5Corners2.4
LensLensSporting CPSporting CP
1.1Goals0.9
5.6Shots9.1
2.6On target4.0
2.8Corners2.7

What we said the chances were

Lens to score83%
2 or more goals83%
Sporting CP to score76%
Goal before half-time69%

First half — what we expected

Lens
46%
to score before half-time
Sporting CP
43%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

LensLensSporting CPSporting CP
39%6+ shots67%
18%8+ shots43%
63%2+ shots on target78%
21%4+ shots on target37%
87%1+ corners87%
42%3+ corners42%

League position

Sporting CP in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Lens form →Sporting CP form →

Common questions

Who won Lens vs Sporting CP?

Sporting CP beat Lens 2–0. Lens had 21 shots (6 on target) to Sporting CP's 11 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 1.7, so Lens created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Lens vs Sporting CP?

Lens 0–2 Sporting CP, played on 13 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lens 45%, the draw 25% and Sporting CP 31%.

What were the stats in Lens vs Sporting CP?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.7, Shots 21–11, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 11–8, Big chances 1–3, Corners 6–3, Saves 3–6, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–0.

Did both teams score in Lens vs Sporting CP?

No. It finished 0–2, so Lens failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.