FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Friday, 30 October 2026
Casa Pia 0–2 Sporting CPMatch recap · Friday, 30 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Casa Pia win
11%
Draw
19%
Sporting CP win
70%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
0.8 – 2.2
Total 3.0
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−1.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.3 – 2.7
From the match itself
The match produced 1.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.