Le Havre AC vs Angers prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 12 Sept · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 12 Sept · 19:45 UK
Le Havre AC 48Draw 27Angers 25
The call
75%
Le Havre AC or draw
2.5
Goals expected
14d 04hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Le Havre AC to score78%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Angers to score64%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D D D L W L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5LEL 2 · D 2 · ANG 1
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Apr 2026Angers 1–1 Le Havre
Jan 2026Le Havre 2–1 Angers
Feb 2025Angers 1–1 Le Havre
Dec 2024Le Havre 0–1 Angers
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Common questions

Who will win Le Havre AC vs Angers?

Bawler's model rates this match: Le Havre AC are favoured (48% win probability vs 25% for Angers, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Le Havre AC vs Angers?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Le Havre AC 1-1 Angers (13.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.54.

How does Bawler predict Le Havre AC vs Angers?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Le Havre AC 48%, the draw 27% and Angers 25%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Le Havre AC vs Angers?

BTTS: No (50% probability) — at least one team likely fails to score. Based on home expected goals 1.51 and away expected goals 1.02.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Le Havre AC vs Angers?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.54. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Le Havre AC form →Angers form →