KVC Westerlo beat KV Mechelen 4–0. Bawler's model favoured KV Mechelen at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KVC Westerlo 36%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. KV Mechelen had 8 shots (1 on target) to KVC Westerlo's 21 (6), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 2.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
KVC Westerlo beat KV Mechelen 4–0. Bawler's model favoured KV Mechelen at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KVC Westerlo 36%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. KV Mechelen had 8 shots (1 on target) to KVC Westerlo's 21 (6), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 2.4.
KV Mechelen 0–4 KVC Westerlo, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KV Mechelen 38%, the draw 25% and KVC Westerlo 36%.
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–2.4, Shots 8–21, Shots on target 1–6, Shots inside box 7–16, Big chances 0–5, Corners 5–6, Saves 1–2, Fouls 15–18, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 3–2.
No. It finished 0–4, so KV Mechelen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said KV Mechelen or draw 64%, it finished KVC Westerlo won (36% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.