FT · Belgium: Pro League · Sunday, 11 October 2026
KVC Westerlo 5–1 AntwerpMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 11 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was KVC Westerlo or draw at 73%. Bawler had KVC Westerlo at 49%, the draw at 24% and Antwerp at 27%. The match finished 5–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
KVC Westerlo win
49%
Result
Draw
24%
Antwerp win
27%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.4
Total 3.3
Actual
5 – 1
Total 6 (+2.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.4 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 2.7 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 84%
Landed
Medium confidence
KVC Westerlo or draw
Pre-match: 73%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.