Pre-match, Bawler had Sint-Truidense at 60%, draw at 20%, KVC Westerlo at 20%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-2. The model's headline call was Sint-Truidense to win.
Match underperformed xG by 1.6 goals. Below-expectation scoring — could be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping, or low-quality chances the model over-rated.