Kocaelispor beat Konyaspor 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Konyaspor at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kocaelispor 27%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Konyaspor had 10 shots (0 on target) to Kocaelispor's 15 (7), with 44% of the ball against 56%. On expected goals it was 0.8 to 0.7, so Konyaspor created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 59%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Kocaelispor beat Konyaspor 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Konyaspor at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kocaelispor 27%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Konyaspor had 10 shots (0 on target) to Kocaelispor's 15 (7), with 44% of the ball against 56%. On expected goals it was 0.8 to 0.7, so Konyaspor created the better chances and still lost the game.
Konyaspor 1–2 Kocaelispor, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Konyaspor 44%, the draw 29% and Kocaelispor 27%.
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–0.7, Shots 10–15, Shots on target 0–7, Shots inside box 5–5, Big chances 1–1, Corners 1–4, Saves 6–0, Fouls 16–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–3, Red cards 1–0.
Yes — both Konyaspor and Kocaelispor scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Konyaspor 44%, it finished Kocaelispor (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 73%, it finished Missed.