Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 29 Aug · 17:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 29 Aug · 17:00 UK
Konyaspor 44Draw 29Kocaelispor 27
The call
73%
Konyaspor or draw
2.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2

How it finished

Kocaelispor beat Konyaspor 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Konyaspor at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kocaelispor 27%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Konyaspor had 10 shots (0 on target) to Kocaelispor's 15 (7), with 44% of the ball against 56%. On expected goals it was 0.8 to 0.7, so Konyaspor created the better chances and still lost the game.

KonyasporFull-time statsKocaelispor
44%Possession56%
0.8Expected goals (xG)0.7
10Shots15
0Shots on target7
5Shots inside box5
1Big chances1
1Corners4
6Saves0
16Fouls12
0Offsides1
1Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultKonyaspor 44%Kocaelispor (27% called)
Total goals2.43
Both teams to score48%Yes
Model call1X 73%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals78%
Konyaspor to score75%
Over 1.5 goals69%
Kocaelispor to score64%

First half — what we expected

KonyasporBefore half-timeKocaelispor
41%Chance to score31%
4.9Expected shots5.3
1.7Expected shots on target1.6
2.1Expected corners2.2
70%Chance of 4+ shots74%
37%Chance of 6+ shots42%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
23%Chance of 3+ shots on target22%
85%Chance of 1+ corners87%
34%Chance of 3+ corners37%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 59%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5KON 1 · D 0 · KOC 1
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Mar 2026Kocaelispor 1–2 Konyaspor
Oct 2025Konyaspor 2–3 Kocaelispor
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Kocaelispor beat Konyaspor 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Konyaspor at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kocaelispor 27%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Konyaspor had 10 shots (0 on target) to Kocaelispor's 15 (7), with 44% of the ball against 56%. On expected goals it was 0.8 to 0.7, so Konyaspor created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Konyaspor 1–2 Kocaelispor, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Konyaspor 44%, the draw 29% and Kocaelispor 27%.

What were the stats in Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–0.7, Shots 10–15, Shots on target 0–7, Shots inside box 5–5, Big chances 1–1, Corners 1–4, Saves 6–0, Fouls 16–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–3, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Yes — both Konyaspor and Kocaelispor scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Konyaspor 44%, it finished Kocaelispor (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 73%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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