FT · TURKEY: Super Lig · Monday, 24 August 2026
Kocaelispor 2–0 Amed SFKMatch recap & how our call landed · Monday, 24 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Amed SFK or draw at 65%. Bawler had Kocaelispor at 35%, the draw at 29% and Amed SFK at 36%. The match finished 2–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Kocaelispor win
35%
Result
Draw
29%
Amed SFK win
36%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.2
Total 2.4
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.4 against our forecast)
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 2.4.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 70%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 23%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.