FT · TURKEY: Super Lig · Saturday, 15 August 2026
Konyaspor 0–1 Caykur RizesporMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 15 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had Konyaspor at 42%, draw at 32%, Caykur Rizespor at 26%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-1. The model's headline call was Konyaspor to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Konyaspor win
42%
Draw
32%
Rizespor win
26%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 77%
✗ Lost
Medium confidence
BTTS No
Pre-match: 53%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Over 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 21%
✗ Lost