Scotland: Scottish PremWednesday 02 Sept, 18:45 UTC

Kilmarnockv St Mirren prediction

The model's call
46%
Kilmarnock win
11 is the single most likely exact score — but only 12% of the time
Kilmarnock 46%Draw 26%St Mirren 28%

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

What the counted stats say

Kilmarnock average 5.2 corners per game at home this season (21 competitive matches). St. Mirren average 5.5 corners per game away from home this season (21 competitive matches).

Kilmarnock vs St Mirren — head-to-head

Kilmarnock and St Mirren have met 10 times since 16 March 2024. Kilmarnock have won 6, St Mirren have won 1, with 3 drawn (2214 on aggregate).

DateResultCompetition
9 May 2026St. Mirren 03 KilmarnockPremiership Relegation Group
11 February 2026Kilmarnock 43 St. MirrenPremiership
27 December 2025St. Mirren 00 KilmarnockPremiership
4 October 2025Kilmarnock 20 St. MirrenPremiership
19 September 2025Kilmarnock 22 St. MirrenLeague Cup

The model's verdict for this fixture: Kilmarnock 46% · draw 26% · St Mirren 28%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More predictions for these teams

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Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.