What we expected
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
Bawler's model rates this match: Hibernian are favoured (62% win probability vs 16% for Kilmarnock, 21% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Hibernian 1-1 Kilmarnock (10.0% probability). Expected total goals: 3.11.
How does Bawler predict Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Hibernian 62%, the draw 21% and Kilmarnock 16%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
BTTS: Yes (56% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.11 and away expected goals 1.00.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.11. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).