Rangers vs Kilmarnock prediction — Scottish Premiership · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK

Scottish Premiership · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK
76Rangers win15Draw9Kilmarnock win
Full time
3–1

How it finished

Rangers beat Kilmarnock 3–1. Rangers had 17 shots (4 on target) to Kilmarnock's 13 (6), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.2.

RangersFull-time statsKilmarnock
60%Possession40%
1.4Expected goals (xG)1.2
17Shots13
4Shots on target6
11Shots inside box11
2Big chances0
7Corners3
5Saves1
15Fouls13
1Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
We predicted
2–0
Rangers to win · 10% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.7v0.9
3.6 in total
Both teams score
54%
Leans yes
3+ goals
69%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

RangersRangersKilmarnockKilmarnock
2.7Goals0.9
25.5Shots7.5
9.6On target3.0
10.5Corners3.9
RangersRangersKilmarnockKilmarnock
1.2Goals0.4
12.0Shots3.3
4.3On target1.3
4.9Corners1.8
RangersRangersKilmarnockKilmarnock
1.5Goals0.5
13.6Shots4.2
5.3On target1.7
5.6Corners2.1

What we said the chances were

Rangers to score93%
2 or more goals87%
Goal before half-time79%

First half — what we expected

Rangers
69%
to score before half-time
Kilmarnock
33%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

RangersRangersKilmarnockKilmarnock
60%11+ shots<10%
42%13+ shots<10%
76%3+ shots on target16%
42%5+ shots on target<10%
68%4+ corners14%
37%6+ corners<10%

League position

Kilmarnock in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Rangers 5–1 Kilmarnock
Dec 2025Kilmarnock 0–3 Rangers
Oct 2025Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock
Feb 2025Kilmarnock 2–4 Rangers
Dec 2024Rangers 6–0 Kilmarnock
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Rangers form →Kilmarnock form →

Common questions

Who won Rangers vs Kilmarnock?

Rangers beat Kilmarnock 3–1. Rangers had 17 shots (4 on target) to Kilmarnock's 13 (6), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Rangers vs Kilmarnock?

Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Rangers 76%, the draw 15% and Kilmarnock 9%.

What were the stats in Rangers vs Kilmarnock?

Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.2, Shots 17–13, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 11–11, Big chances 2–0, Corners 7–3, Saves 5–1, Fouls 15–13, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Rangers vs Kilmarnock?

Yes — both Rangers and Kilmarnock scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.