Rangers beat Kilmarnock 3–1. Rangers had 17 shots (4 on target) to Kilmarnock's 13 (6), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.2.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Rangers beat Kilmarnock 3–1. Rangers had 17 shots (4 on target) to Kilmarnock's 13 (6), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.2.
Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Rangers 76%, the draw 15% and Kilmarnock 9%.
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.2, Shots 17–13, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 11–11, Big chances 2–0, Corners 7–3, Saves 5–1, Fouls 15–13, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
Yes — both Rangers and Kilmarnock scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.