FT · SCOTLAND: Premiership · Sunday, 09 August 2026
Kilmarnock 1–5 CelticMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Sunday, 09 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had Kilmarnock at 40%, draw at 29%, Celtic at 30%. Against expectation, the match finished 1-5. The model's headline call was Kilmarnock to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Kilmarnock win
40%
Draw
29%
Celtic win
30%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 78%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
1X
Pre-match: 51%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
Over 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 26%
✓ Won