Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren prediction — Scottish Premiership · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK

Scottish Premiership · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK
60Heart of Midlothian win24Draw16St Mirren win
Full time
5–0

How it finished

Heart of Midlothian beat St Mirren 5–0. Heart of Midlothian had 18 shots (6 on target) to St Mirren's 8 (1), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 3.4 to 0.7.

Heart of…Full-time statsSt Mirren
49%Possession51%
3.4Expected goals (xG)0.7
18Shots8
6Shots on target1
14Shots inside box4
4Big chances1
6Corners2
1Saves1
16Fouls18
3Offsides1
2Yellow cards3
We predicted
1–0
Heart of Midlothian to win · 12% for this exact score
Expected goals
1.9v0.9
2.7 in total
Both teams score
49%
Leans no
3+ goals
52%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Heart of MidlothianHeart of MidlothianSt MirrenSt Mirren
1.9Goals0.9
17.7Shots10.0
6.4On target3.7
8.5Corners4.2
Heart of MidlothianHeart of MidlothianSt MirrenSt Mirren
0.7Goals0.3
8.2Shots4.5
2.6On target1.6
4.0Corners2.0
Heart of MidlothianHeart of MidlothianSt MirrenSt Mirren
1.1Goals0.6
9.5Shots5.5
3.8On target2.1
4.5Corners2.3

What we said the chances were

Heart of Midlothian to score84%
2 or more goals76%
3 goals or fewer71%
Goal before half-time65%

First half — what we expected

Heart of Midlothian
53%
to score before half-time
St Mirren
27%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Heart of MidlothianHeart of MidlothianSt MirrenSt Mirren
65%7+ shots20%
42%9+ shots<10%
70%2+ shots on target44%
28%4+ shots on target<10%
71%3+ corners32%
37%5+ corners<10%

League position

St Mirren in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Feb 2026St. Mirren 1–0 Heart of Midlothian
Jan 2026Heart of Midlothian 2–0 St. Mirren
Oct 2025St. Mirren 2–2 Heart of Midlothian
Aug 2025St. Mirren 1–1 Heart of Midlothian
Feb 2025Heart of Midlothian 3–1 St. Mirren
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Heart of Midlothian form →St Mirren form →

Common questions

Who won Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren?

Heart of Midlothian beat St Mirren 5–0. Heart of Midlothian had 18 shots (6 on target) to St Mirren's 8 (1), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 3.4 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren?

Heart of Midlothian 5–0 St Mirren, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Heart of Midlothian 60%, the draw 24% and St Mirren 16%.

What were the stats in Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren?

Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 3.4–0.7, Shots 18–8, Shots on target 6–1, Shots inside box 14–4, Big chances 4–1, Corners 6–2, Saves 1–1, Fouls 16–18, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren?

No. It finished 5–0, so St Mirren failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.