Kasimpasa vs Konyaspor prediction — Süper Lig · Fri 18 Sept · 18:00 UK

Süper Lig · Fri 18 Sept · 18:00 UK
Kasimpasa 40Draw 28Konyaspor 32
The call
68%
Kasimpasa or draw
2.6
Goals expected
14d 07hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Kasimpasa to score75%
Under 3.5 goals74%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Konyaspor to score70%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

Kasimpasa
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Ali Kol
MF · 2.3 shots expected
90%
34%
6%
Pape Guèye
FW · 2.1 shots expected
88%
57%
20%
Kubilay Kanatsizkus
FW · 2.0 shots expected
87%
51%
16%
Irfan Kahveci
MF · 1.4 shots expected
76%
37%
8%
Kerem Demirbay
MF · 1.1 shots expected
66%
28%
4%
Cafú
MF · 1.0 shots expected
64%
25%
3%
Konyaspor
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Jackson Muleka
FW · 2.3 shots expected
90%
58%
21%
Enis Bardhi
MF · 1.9 shots expected
85%
45%
12%
Kazeem Olaigbe
MF · 1.6 shots expected
80%
38%
8%
Deniz Türüc
MF · 1.1 shots expected
67%
30%
5%
Berkan Kutlu
MF · 1.1 shots expected
66%
37%
8%
Marko Jevtovic
MF · 1.0 shots expected
63%
27%
4%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L W D W W D
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
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Common questions

Who will win Kasimpasa vs Konyaspor?

Bawler's model rates this match: Kasimpasa are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for Konyaspor, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Kasimpasa vs Konyaspor?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Kasimpasa 1-1 Konyaspor (13.4% probability). Expected total goals: 2.57.

How does Bawler predict Kasimpasa vs Konyaspor?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Kasimpasa 40%, the draw 28% and Konyaspor 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Kasimpasa vs Konyaspor?

BTTS: Yes (52% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.37 and away expected goals 1.20.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Kasimpasa vs Konyaspor?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.57. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Kasimpasa form →Konyaspor form →