FT · Turkey: Süper Lig · Sunday, 11 October 2026
Konyaspor 0–0 Istanbul BasaksehirMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 11 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Istanbul Basaksehir or draw at 63%. Bawler had Konyaspor at 37%, the draw at 26% and Istanbul Basaksehir at 37%. The match finished 0–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Konyaspor win
37%
Draw
26%
Result
Istanbul Basaksehir win
37%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.5
Total 3.0
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−3.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.4 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced 3.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 81%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.