Ipswich Town vs Liverpool prediction — Premier League · Fri 4 Sept · 20:00 UK

Premier League · Fri 4 Sept · 20:00 UK
Ipswich Town 48Draw 26Liverpool 26
The call
48%
Ipswich Town to win
2.8
Goals expected
14d 11hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Ipswich Town or draw74%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
BTTS55%
Ipswich Town win to nil26%
Liverpool or draw52%
Under 3.5 goals70%
Correct score 1–112%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D D W D W L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
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Common questions

Who will win Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?

Bawler's model rates this match: Ipswich Town are favoured (48% win probability vs 26% for Liverpool, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Ipswich Town 1-1 Liverpool (12.4% probability). Expected total goals: 2.77.

How does Bawler predict Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Ipswich Town 48%, the draw 26% and Liverpool 26%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?

BTTS: Yes (55% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.63 and away expected goals 1.14.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.77. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Ipswich Town form →Liverpool form →