Ipswich Town vs Liverpool prediction — Premier League · Fri 4 Sept · 20:00 UK

Premier League · Fri 4 Sept · 20:00 UK
Ipswich Town 22Draw 24Liverpool 54
Our call before kickoff
78%
Liverpool or draw
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
67%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

Liverpool beat Ipswich Town 2–0. Bawler's model had Liverpool in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Ipswich Town had 14 shots (5 on target) to Liverpool's 10 (7), with 45% of the ball against 55%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.7, so Ipswich Town created the better chances and still lost the game.

Ipswich TownFull-time statsLiverpool
45%Possession55%
0.7Expected goals (xG)0.7
14Shots10
5Shots on target7
4Shots inside box5
0Big chances0
4Corners3
5Saves5
6Fouls13
5Offsides4
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLiverpool or draw 78%Liverpool won (54% called)
Total goals3.12
Both teams to score58%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 81%Landed
Second pickLiverpool to win 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Ipswich TownLiverpool
1.2
Goals+0.7
1.9
13.6
Shots+3.1
10.5
4.9
On target+1.5
3.4
5.1
Corners+0.6
4.5
Ipswich TownLiverpool
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
6.0
Shots+1.6
4.5
2.2
On target+0.8
1.4
2.4
Corners+0.3
2.1
Ipswich TownLiverpool
0.7
Goals+0.8
1.5
7.6
Shots+1.5
6.1
2.6
On target+0.7
2.0
2.7
Corners+0.3
2.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Liverpool to score85%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Ipswich Town to score69%
Under 3.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Ipswich Town
48%
to score before half-time
Liverpool
38%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%

Ipswich TownLiverpool
6.01st-half shots4.5
2.21st-half shots on target1.4
2.41st-half corners2.1

First-half chances

65%Chance of 5+ shots44%
39%Chance of 7+ shots20%
86%Chance of 1+ shots on target71%
38%Chance of 3+ shots on target19%
87%Chance of 1+ corners83%
41%Chance of 3+ corners34%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Ipswich Town6.07.6
Shots · Liverpool4.56.1
Shots on target · Ipswich Town2.22.6
Shots on target · Liverpool1.42.0
Corners · Ipswich Town2.42.7
Corners · Liverpool2.12.4
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.7 / match
Liverpool in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?

Liverpool beat Ipswich Town 2–0. Bawler's model had Liverpool in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Ipswich Town had 14 shots (5 on target) to Liverpool's 10 (7), with 45% of the ball against 55%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.7, so Ipswich Town created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?

Ipswich Town 0–2 Liverpool, played on 04 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ipswich Town 22%, the draw 24% and Liverpool 54%.

What were the stats in Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?

Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.7, Shots 14–10, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 4–5, Big chances 0–0, Corners 4–3, Saves 5–5, Fouls 6–13, Offsides 5–4, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?

No. It finished 0–2, so Ipswich Town failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Ipswich Town vs Liverpool right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Liverpool or draw 78%, it finished Liverpool won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Liverpool to win 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Ipswich Town form →Liverpool form →