Liverpool beat Ipswich Town 2–0. Bawler's model had Liverpool in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Ipswich Town had 14 shots (5 on target) to Liverpool's 10 (7), with 45% of the ball against 55%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.7, so Ipswich Town created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Liverpool beat Ipswich Town 2–0. Bawler's model had Liverpool in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Ipswich Town had 14 shots (5 on target) to Liverpool's 10 (7), with 45% of the ball against 55%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.7, so Ipswich Town created the better chances and still lost the game.
Ipswich Town 0–2 Liverpool, played on 04 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ipswich Town 22%, the draw 24% and Liverpool 54%.
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.7, Shots 14–10, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 4–5, Big chances 0–0, Corners 4–3, Saves 5–5, Fouls 6–13, Offsides 5–4, Yellow cards 1–3.
No. It finished 0–2, so Ipswich Town failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Liverpool or draw 78%, it finished Liverpool won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Liverpool to win 54%, it finished Landed.