Houston Dynamo FC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction — MLS · Sun 27 Sept · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 27 Sept · 01:30 UK
60Houston Dynamo FC win23Draw18Sporting Kansas City win
Our call before kickoff
60%
Houston Dynamo FC to win
Missed
Full time
Final 0–2

How it finished

Sporting Kansas City beat Houston Dynamo FC 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Houston Dynamo FC at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sporting Kansas City 18%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Houston Dynamo FC had 21 shots (4 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 10 (4), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.2, so Houston Dynamo FC created the better chances and still lost the game.

Houston…Full-time statsSporting…
51%Possession49%
1.5Expected goals (xG)1.2
21Shots10
4Shots on target4
15Shots inside box7
0Big chances1
8Corners2
2Saves4
3Fouls11
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callHouston Dynamo FC to win 60%Sporting Kansas City won (18% called)
Total goals3.02
Both teams to score55%No
Graded pickHouston Dynamo FC or draw 82%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

Houston Dynamo FC to score86%
2 or more goals80%
Goal before half-time74%
3 goals or fewer65%
Sporting Kansas City to score63%
3 or more goals58%
Both teams score55%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Houston Dynamo FCHouston Dynamo FCSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
2.0Goals1.0
21.2Shots10.0
6.2On target3.8
5.0Corners3.5
Houston Dynamo FCHouston Dynamo FCSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
0.9Goals0.4
9.5Shots4.5
2.7On target1.6
2.4Corners1.6
Houston Dynamo FCHouston Dynamo FCSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
1.1Goals0.6
11.7Shots5.6
3.5On target2.2
2.7Corners1.8

Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

Houston Dynamo FC
60%
to score before half-time
Sporting Kansas City
34%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Houston Dynamo FCHouston Dynamo FCSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
67%8+ shots13%
46%10+ shots<10%
71%2+ shots on target45%
29%4+ shots on target10%
86%1+ corners74%
40%3+ corners24%

League position

Sporting Kansas City in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Aug 2026Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Houston Dynamo FC
Oct 2025Sporting Kansas City 0–0 Houston Dynamo FC
Jun 2025Houston Dynamo FC 1–3 Sporting Kansas City
May 2024Sporting Kansas City 1–2 Houston Dynamo FC
Feb 2024Houston Dynamo FC 1–1 Sporting Kansas City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Houston Dynamo FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Sporting Kansas City beat Houston Dynamo FC 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Houston Dynamo FC at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sporting Kansas City 18%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Houston Dynamo FC had 21 shots (4 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 10 (4), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.2, so Houston Dynamo FC created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Houston Dynamo FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Houston Dynamo FC 0–2 Sporting Kansas City, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Houston Dynamo FC 60%, the draw 23% and Sporting Kansas City 18%.

What were the stats in Houston Dynamo FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.2, Shots 21–10, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 15–7, Big chances 0–1, Corners 8–2, Saves 2–4, Fouls 3–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–4, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Houston Dynamo FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

No. It finished 0–2, so Houston Dynamo FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Houston Dynamo FC vs Sporting Kansas City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Houston Dynamo FC to win 60%, it finished Sporting Kansas City won (18% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Houston Dynamo FC or draw 82%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Houston Dynamo FC form →Sporting Kansas City form →