How it finished
Houston Dynamo FC beat Real Salt Lake 2–1. Bawler's model had Houston Dynamo FC in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Houston Dynamo FC had 12 shots (6 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 9 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Houston Dynamo FC vs Real Salt Lake?
Houston Dynamo FC beat Real Salt Lake 2–1. Bawler's model had Houston Dynamo FC in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Houston Dynamo FC had 12 shots (6 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 9 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Houston Dynamo FC vs Real Salt Lake?
Houston Dynamo FC 2–1 Real Salt Lake, played on 10 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Houston Dynamo FC 45%, the draw 26% and Real Salt Lake 29%.
What were the stats in Houston Dynamo FC vs Real Salt Lake?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.2, Shots 12–9, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 7–6, Big chances 2–1, Corners 1–4, Saves 2–4, Fouls 7–18, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 1–4.
Did both teams score in Houston Dynamo FC vs Real Salt Lake?
Yes — both Houston Dynamo FC and Real Salt Lake scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Houston Dynamo FC vs Real Salt Lake right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Houston Dynamo FC or draw 71%, it finished Houston Dynamo FC won (45% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed.