Houston Dynamo FC vs Real Salt Lake prediction — MLS · Thu 10 Sept · 01:30 UK

MLS · Thu 10 Sept · 01:30 UK
Houston Dynamo FC 45Draw 26Real Salt Lake 29
The call
71%
Houston Dynamo FC or draw
2.8
Goals expected
14d 11hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Houston Dynamo FC to score80%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Real Salt Lake to score71%
Under 3.5 goals68%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W W W W W L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5HOU 2 · D 0 · SAL 3
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

May 2026Real Salt Lake 3–0 Houston Dynamo FC
Jul 2025Real Salt Lake 1–0 Houston Dynamo FC
Mar 2025Houston Dynamo FC 1–2 Real Salt Lake
Sept 2024Houston Dynamo FC 4–1 Real Salt Lake
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Common questions

Who will win Houston Dynamo FC vs Real Salt Lake?

Bawler's model rates this match: Houston Dynamo FC are favoured (45% win probability vs 29% for Real Salt Lake, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo FC vs Real Salt Lake?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Houston Dynamo FC 1-1 Real Salt Lake (12.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.83.

How does Bawler predict Houston Dynamo FC vs Real Salt Lake?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Houston Dynamo FC 45%, the draw 26% and Real Salt Lake 29%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Houston Dynamo FC vs Real Salt Lake?

BTTS: Yes (57% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.59 and away expected goals 1.24.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Houston Dynamo FC vs Real Salt Lake?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.83. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Houston Dynamo FC form →Real Salt Lake form →