How it finished
Heart of Midlothian beat Hibernian 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Hibernian at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Heart of Midlothian 33%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Hibernian had 17 shots (4 on target) to Heart of Midlothian's 12 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 0.8, so Hibernian created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Hibernian vs Heart of Midlothian?
Heart of Midlothian beat Hibernian 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Hibernian at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Heart of Midlothian 33%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Hibernian had 17 shots (4 on target) to Heart of Midlothian's 12 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 0.8, so Hibernian created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Hibernian vs Heart of Midlothian?
Hibernian 1–3 Heart of Midlothian, played on 03 Sept 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hibernian 40%, the draw 27% and Heart of Midlothian 33%.
What were the stats in Hibernian vs Heart of Midlothian?
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.8, Shots 17–12, Shots on target 4–5, Shots inside box 12–9, Big chances 1–0, Corners 7–8, Saves 2–3, Fouls 16–9, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–0, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Hibernian vs Heart of Midlothian?
Yes — both Hibernian and Heart of Midlothian scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Hibernian vs Heart of Midlothian right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Hibernian or draw 67%, it finished Heart of Midlothian won (33% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.