Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee prediction — Scottish Premiership · Sun 6 Sept · 15:00 UK

Scottish Premiership · Sun 6 Sept · 15:00 UK
Heart of Midlothian 65Draw 21Dundee 14
Our call before kickoff
65%
Heart of Midlothian to win
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
50%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Heart of Midlothian beat Dundee 2–1. Bawler's model had Heart of Midlothian in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Heart of Midlothian had 27 shots (7 on target) to Dundee's 4 (1), with 72% of the ball against 28%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.5.

Heart of…Full-time statsDundee
72%Possession28%
1.9Expected goals (xG)0.5
27Shots4
7Shots on target1
17Shots inside box2
2Big chances1
14Corners2
0Saves5
11Fouls19
1Offsides1
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callHeart of Midlothian to win 65%Heart of Midlothian won (65% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score50%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Heart of MidlothianDundee
2.1
Goals+1.2
0.8
17.4
Shots+6.8
10.6
6.7
On target+2.3
4.4
7.3
Corners+3.3
4.0
Heart of MidlothianDundee
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
8.2
Shots+3.2
5.0
2.8
On target+0.8
2.0
3.5
Corners+1.5
1.9
Heart of MidlothianDundee
1.5
Goals+1.1
0.4
9.2
Shots+3.6
5.6
3.9
On target+1.5
2.4
3.9
Corners+1.7
2.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Heart of Midlothian to score87%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

Heart of Midlothian
58%
to score before half-time
Dundee
40%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

Heart of MidlothianDundee
8.21st-half shots5.0
2.81st-half shots on target2.0
3.51st-half corners1.9

First-half chances

65%Chance of 7+ shots26%
42%Chance of 9+ shots11%
73%Chance of 2+ shots on target56%
31%Chance of 4+ shots on target16%
81%Chance of 2+ corners52%
44%Chance of 4+ corners15%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Heart of Midlothian8.29.2
Shots · Dundee5.05.6
Shots on target · Heart of Midlothian2.83.9
Shots on target · Dundee2.02.4
Corners · Heart of Midlothian3.53.9
Corners · Dundee1.92.1
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Heart of Midlothian 4 · Draws 0 · Dundee 1
Dundee in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Mar 2026Heart of Midlothian 1–0 Dundee FC
Jan 2026Dundee FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian
Nov 2025Heart of Midlothian 4–0 Dundee FC
Apr 2025Heart of Midlothian 0–1 Dundee FC
Mar 2025Heart of Midlothian 3–1 Dundee FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee?

Heart of Midlothian beat Dundee 2–1. Bawler's model had Heart of Midlothian in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Heart of Midlothian had 27 shots (7 on target) to Dundee's 4 (1), with 72% of the ball against 28%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee?

Heart of Midlothian 2–1 Dundee, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Heart of Midlothian 65%, the draw 21% and Dundee 14%.

What were the stats in Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee?

Full-time: Possession 72%–28%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.5, Shots 27–4, Shots on target 7–1, Shots inside box 17–2, Big chances 2–1, Corners 14–2, Saves 0–5, Fouls 11–19, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee?

Yes — both Heart of Midlothian and Dundee scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Heart of Midlothian to win 65%, it finished Heart of Midlothian won (65% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Heart of Midlothian form →Dundee form →