Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee prediction — Scottish Prem · Sun 6 Sept · 15:00 UK

Scottish Prem · Sun 6 Sept · 15:00 UK
Heart of Midlothian 65Draw 21Dundee 14
The call
65%
Heart of Midlothian to win
2.9
Goals expected
13d 20hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Heart of Midlothian or draw86%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
BTTS50%
Heart of Midlothian win to nil38%
Dundee or draw35%
Under 3.5 goals67%
Correct score 2–012%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L L W D W D
Expected goals gap (xG)+1.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5HEA 4 · D 0 · DUN 1
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Mar 2026Heart of Midlothian 1–0 Dundee FC
Jan 2026Dundee FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian
Nov 2025Heart of Midlothian 4–0 Dundee FC
Apr 2025Heart of Midlothian 0–1 Dundee FC
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Common questions

Who will win Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee?

Bawler's model rates this match: Heart of Midlothian are favoured (65% win probability vs 14% for Dundee, 21% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Heart of Midlothian 2-0 Dundee (11.5% probability). Expected total goals: 2.92.

How does Bawler predict Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Heart of Midlothian 65%, the draw 21% and Dundee 14%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee?

BTTS: No (50% probability) — at least one team likely fails to score. Based on home expected goals 2.07 and away expected goals 0.84.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.92. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Heart of Midlothian form →Dundee form →