Heart of Midlothian beat Dundee 2–1. Bawler's model had Heart of Midlothian in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Heart of Midlothian had 27 shots (7 on target) to Dundee's 4 (1), with 72% of the ball against 28%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Heart of Midlothian beat Dundee 2–1. Bawler's model had Heart of Midlothian in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Heart of Midlothian had 27 shots (7 on target) to Dundee's 4 (1), with 72% of the ball against 28%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.5.
Heart of Midlothian 2–1 Dundee, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Heart of Midlothian 65%, the draw 21% and Dundee 14%.
Full-time: Possession 72%–28%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.5, Shots 27–4, Shots on target 7–1, Shots inside box 17–2, Big chances 2–1, Corners 14–2, Saves 0–5, Fouls 11–19, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 0–1.
Yes — both Heart of Midlothian and Dundee scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Heart of Midlothian to win 65%, it finished Heart of Midlothian won (65% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes.