The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Heart of Midlothian and FC Nordsjælland drew 1–1.
Heart of Midlothian 1–1 FC Nordsjælland, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Conference League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Heart of Midlothian 30%, the draw 25% and FC Nordsjælland 45%.
Yes — both Heart of Midlothian and FC Nordsjælland scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.