How it finished
FC Dallas beat Portland Timbers 2–1. Bawler's model had FC Dallas in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. FC Dallas had 9 shots (5 on target) to Portland Timbers' 18 (4), with 39% of the ball against 61%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.7, so Portland Timbers created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?
FC Dallas beat Portland Timbers 2–1. Bawler's model had FC Dallas in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. FC Dallas had 9 shots (5 on target) to Portland Timbers' 18 (4), with 39% of the ball against 61%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.7, so Portland Timbers created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?
FC Dallas 2–1 Portland Timbers, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Dallas 51%, the draw 24% and Portland Timbers 25%.
What were the stats in FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.7, Shots 9–18, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 6–14, Big chances 3–1, Corners 8–5, Saves 3–3, Fouls 13–4, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?
Yes — both FC Dallas and Portland Timbers scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Dallas or draw 75%, it finished FC Dallas won (51% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said FC Dallas to win 51%, it finished Landed.