Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg prediction — Bundesliga · Sat 19 Sept · 14:30 UK

Bundesliga · Sat 19 Sept · 14:30 UK
Eintracht Frankfurt 38Draw 26SC Freiburg 36
The call
64%
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw
2.9
Goals expected
14d 03hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Over 1.5 goals79%
Eintracht Frankfurt to score78%
SC Freiburg to score76%
Under 3.5 goals66%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

Eintracht Frankfurt
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Jonathan Burkardt
FW · 2.7 shots expected
93%
72%
36%
Can Uzun
MF · 2.6 shots expected
93%
65%
28%
Ansgar Knauff
FW · 2.4 shots expected
91%
64%
27%
Arnaud Kalimuendo-Muinga
FW · 2.1 shots expected
87%
64%
27%
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya
MF · 1.8 shots expected
84%
42%
10%
Farès Chaïbi
MF · 1.7 shots expected
82%
38%
9%
SC Freiburg
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Igor Matanovic
FW · 2.8 shots expected
94%
67%
30%
Derry Scherhant
MF · 2.1 shots expected
88%
50%
15%
Johan Manzambi
MF · 2.0 shots expected
86%
38%
8%
Yuito Suzuki
MF · 1.9 shots expected
84%
48%
14%
Lucas Höler
FW · 1.6 shots expected
81%
54%
18%
Vincenzo Grifo
MF · 1.5 shots expected
78%
41%
10%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D L L D W D
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
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Common questions

Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?

Bawler's model rates this match: Eintracht Frankfurt are favoured (38% win probability vs 36% for SC Freiburg, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 SC Freiburg (12.1% probability). Expected total goals: 2.93.

How does Bawler predict Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Eintracht Frankfurt 38%, the draw 26% and SC Freiburg 36%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?

BTTS: Yes (59% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.50 and away expected goals 1.43.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.93. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →Eintracht Frankfurt form →SC Freiburg form →