FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Mainz 1–3 Eintracht FrankfurtMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Mainz win
53%
Draw
24%
Eintracht Frankfurt win
23%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.2
Total 3.1
Actual
1 – 3
Total 4 (+0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.1 – 2.1
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.