Colorado Rapids beat CF Montréal 1–0. Bawler's model had Colorado Rapids in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Colorado Rapids had 18 shots (7 on target) to CF Montréal's 11 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Colorado Rapids beat CF Montréal 1–0. Bawler's model had Colorado Rapids in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Colorado Rapids had 18 shots (7 on target) to CF Montréal's 11 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.7.
Colorado Rapids 1–0 CF Montréal, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Colorado Rapids 51%, the draw 24% and CF Montréal 25%.
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–0.7, Shots 18–11, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 12–7, Big chances 3–1, Corners 5–1, Saves 5–6, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–1.
No. It finished 1–0, so CF Montréal failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Colorado Rapids or draw 75%, it finished Colorado Rapids won (51% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Colorado Rapids to win 51%, it finished Landed.