Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal prediction — MLS · Sun 13 Sept · 02:30 UK

MLS · Sun 13 Sept · 02:30 UK
Colorado Rapids 50Draw 24CF Montréal 25
The call
75%
Colorado Rapids or draw
3.0
Goals expected
14d 11hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Colorado Rapids to score84%
Over 1.5 goals81%
CF Montréal to score71%
Under 3.5 goals64%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W L W W W L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5COL 3 · D 1 · MON 1
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Jun 2024Colorado Rapids 4–1 CF Montréal
Aug 2019Colorado Rapids 6–3 CF Montréal
Jul 2018CF Montréal 2–1 Colorado Rapids
Oct 2017Colorado Rapids 2–1 CF Montréal
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Common questions

Who will win Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal?

Bawler's model rates this match: Colorado Rapids are favoured (50% win probability vs 25% for CF Montréal, 24% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Colorado Rapids 1-1 CF Montréal (11.3% probability). Expected total goals: 3.04.

How does Bawler predict Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Colorado Rapids 50%, the draw 24% and CF Montréal 25%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal?

BTTS: Yes (59% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.81 and away expected goals 1.23.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.04. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Colorado Rapids form →CF Montréal form →