Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal prediction — MLS · Sun 13 Sept · 02:30 UK

MLS · Sun 13 Sept · 02:30 UK
Colorado Rapids 51Draw 24CF Montréal 25
Our call before kickoff
75%
Colorado Rapids or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
70%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

Colorado Rapids beat CF Montréal 1–0. Bawler's model had Colorado Rapids in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Colorado Rapids had 18 shots (7 on target) to CF Montréal's 11 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.7.

Colorado…Full-time statsCF Montréal
59%Possession41%
2.2Expected goals (xG)0.7
18Shots11
7Shots on target5
12Shots inside box7
3Big chances1
5Corners1
5Saves6
13Fouls11
1Offsides3
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callColorado Rapids or draw 75%Colorado Rapids won (51% called)
Total goals3.01
Both teams to score59%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 81%Missed
Second pickColorado Rapids to win 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Colorado RapidsCF Montréal
1.8
Goals+0.6
1.2
16.9
Shots+6.8
10.1
4.6
On target
4.6
5.3
Corners+0.6
4.7
Colorado RapidsCF Montréal
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
7.5
Shots+3.4
4.2
2.1
On target+0.2
1.9
2.5
Corners+0.3
2.2
Colorado RapidsCF Montréal
1.3
Goals+0.5
0.8
9.4
Shots+3.5
5.9
2.6
On target+0.2
2.7
2.8
Corners+0.3
2.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Colorado Rapids to score84%
Over 1.5 goals81%
CF Montréal to score70%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Colorado Rapids
49%
to score before half-time
CF Montréal
41%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%

Colorado RapidsCF Montréal
7.51st-half shots4.2
2.11st-half shots on target1.9
2.51st-half corners2.2

First-half chances

58%Chance of 7+ shots17%
35%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
84%Chance of 1+ shots on target81%
34%Chance of 3+ shots on target30%
88%Chance of 1+ corners85%
43%Chance of 3+ corners37%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Colorado Rapids7.59.4
Shots · CF Montréal4.25.9
Shots on target · Colorado Rapids2.12.6
Shots on target · CF Montréal1.92.7
Corners · Colorado Rapids2.52.8
Corners · CF Montréal2.22.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Colorado Rapids 3 · Draws 1 · CF Montréal 1
CF Montréal in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Jun 2024Colorado Rapids 4–1 CF Montréal
Aug 2019Colorado Rapids 6–3 CF Montréal
Jul 2018CF Montréal 2–1 Colorado Rapids
Oct 2017Colorado Rapids 2–1 CF Montréal
Apr 2016CF Montréal 2–2 Colorado Rapids
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal?

Colorado Rapids beat CF Montréal 1–0. Bawler's model had Colorado Rapids in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Colorado Rapids had 18 shots (7 on target) to CF Montréal's 11 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal?

Colorado Rapids 1–0 CF Montréal, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Colorado Rapids 51%, the draw 24% and CF Montréal 25%.

What were the stats in Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal?

Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–0.7, Shots 18–11, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 12–7, Big chances 3–1, Corners 5–1, Saves 5–6, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal?

No. It finished 1–0, so CF Montréal failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Colorado Rapids or draw 75%, it finished Colorado Rapids won (51% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Colorado Rapids to win 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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