Chicago Fire FC vs Portland Timbers prediction — MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 23:00 UK

MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 23:00 UK
Chicago Fire FC 53Draw 26Portland Timbers 21
The call
78%
Over 1.5 goals
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Chicago Fire FC beat Portland Timbers 2–1. Bawler's model had Chicago Fire FC in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Chicago Fire FC had 8 shots (4 on target) to Portland Timbers' 11 (2), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.1.

Chicago FireFull-time statsPortland…
37%Possession63%
1.5Expected goals (xG)1.1
8Shots11
4Shots on target2
6Shots inside box7
4Big chances1
0Corners4
1Saves2
15Fouls6
2Offsides2
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultChicago Fire FC 53%Chicago Fire FC (53% called)
Total goals3.23
Both teams to score61%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 78%Landed
Second callBTTS No 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Chicago Fire FC to score87%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Portland Timbers to score70%
Over 2.5 goals63%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5CHI 1 · D 3 · POR 1
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Jun 2023Portland Timbers 1–2 Chicago Fire FC
Aug 2019Portland Timbers 3–2 Chicago Fire FC
Mar 2018Chicago Fire FC 2–2 Portland Timbers
Jul 2017Portland Timbers 2–2 Chicago Fire FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Chicago Fire FC vs Portland Timbers?

Chicago Fire FC beat Portland Timbers 2–1. Bawler's model had Chicago Fire FC in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Chicago Fire FC had 8 shots (4 on target) to Portland Timbers' 11 (2), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.1.

What was the final score in Chicago Fire FC vs Portland Timbers?

Chicago Fire FC 2–1 Portland Timbers, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Chicago Fire FC 53%, the draw 26% and Portland Timbers 21%.

What were the stats in Chicago Fire FC vs Portland Timbers?

Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.1, Shots 8–11, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 6–7, Big chances 4–1, Corners 0–4, Saves 1–2, Fouls 15–6, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Chicago Fire FC vs Portland Timbers?

Yes — both Chicago Fire FC and Portland Timbers scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs Portland Timbers right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Chicago Fire FC 53%, it finished Chicago Fire FC (53% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said BTTS No 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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