England: ChampionshipSaturday 29 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Charlton Athletic vPreston North End

Most likely scoreline
11
12% of the time · 2.55 goals expected
Charlton Athletic 46%Draw 32%Preston North End 22%
How we get there
Charlton AthleticstepPreston North End
1.54Base xG · rolling 26-match1.01
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.54Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.01

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Charlton average 5.0 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Preston average 3.6 corners per game away from home this season (24 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
8
4
1
1
12
12
6
2
1
2
9
9
5
2
3
5
5
2
1
4
2
2
1
5
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Charlton vs Preston — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Charlton and Preston — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Charlton 46% · draw 32% · Preston 22%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.