Charlton Athletic vs Preston North End prediction — Championship · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK
Charlton Athletic 41Draw 28Preston North End 31
The call
74%
Over 1.5 goals
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0

How it finished

Charlton Athletic beat Preston North End 1–0. Bawler's model had Charlton Athletic in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Charlton Athletic had 15 shots (2 on target) to Preston North End's 12 (1), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 0.9 to 0.9, so Preston North End created the better chances and still lost the game.

Charlton…Full-time statsPreston North…
57%Possession43%
0.9Expected goals (xG)0.9
15Shots12
2Shots on target1
4Shots inside box5
0Big chances1
7Corners4
1Saves1
10Fouls21
6Offsides0
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCharlton Athletic 41%Charlton Athletic (41% called)
Total goals2.71
Both teams to score54%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 74%Missed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Charlton Athletic to score76%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Preston North End to score70%

First half — what we expected

Charlton AthleticBefore half-timePreston North End
42%Chance to score50%
6.9Expected shots5.6
2.4Expected shots on target2.0
2.2Expected corners1.9
66%Chance of 6+ shots47%
38%Chance of 8+ shots21%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
42%Chance of 3+ shots on target32%
87%Chance of 1+ corners83%
38%Chance of 3+ corners31%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 71%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5CHA 0 · D 0 · PRE 5
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Apr 2026Charlton Athletic 1–2 Preston North End
Oct 2025Preston North End 2–0 Charlton Athletic
Jan 2025Preston North End 2–1 Charlton Athletic
Jan 2020Preston North End 2–1 Charlton Athletic
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Charlton Athletic vs Preston North End?

Charlton Athletic beat Preston North End 1–0. Bawler's model had Charlton Athletic in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Charlton Athletic had 15 shots (2 on target) to Preston North End's 12 (1), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 0.9 to 0.9, so Preston North End created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Charlton Athletic vs Preston North End?

Charlton Athletic 1–0 Preston North End, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Charlton Athletic 41%, the draw 28% and Preston North End 31%.

What were the stats in Charlton Athletic vs Preston North End?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.9, Shots 15–12, Shots on target 2–1, Shots inside box 4–5, Big chances 0–1, Corners 7–4, Saves 1–1, Fouls 10–21, Offsides 6–0, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Charlton Athletic vs Preston North End?

No. It finished 1–0, so Preston North End failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Preston North End right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Charlton Athletic 41%, it finished Charlton Athletic (41% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 74%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Charlton Athletic form →Preston North End form →