Charlton Athletic beat Preston North End 1–0. Bawler's model had Charlton Athletic in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Charlton Athletic had 15 shots (2 on target) to Preston North End's 12 (1), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 0.9 to 0.9, so Preston North End created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 71%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Charlton Athletic beat Preston North End 1–0. Bawler's model had Charlton Athletic in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Charlton Athletic had 15 shots (2 on target) to Preston North End's 12 (1), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 0.9 to 0.9, so Preston North End created the better chances and still lost the game.
Charlton Athletic 1–0 Preston North End, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Charlton Athletic 41%, the draw 28% and Preston North End 31%.
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.9, Shots 15–12, Shots on target 2–1, Shots inside box 4–5, Big chances 0–1, Corners 7–4, Saves 1–1, Fouls 10–21, Offsides 6–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
No. It finished 1–0, so Preston North End failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Charlton Athletic 41%, it finished Charlton Athletic (41% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 74%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 51%, it finished Landed.