CF Montréal vs FC Cincinnati prediction — MLS · Sun 27 Sept · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 27 Sept · 00:30 UK
39CF Montréal win24Draw37FC Cincinnati win
Our call before kickoff
63%
CF Montréal or draw
Landed
Full time
Final 3–1

How it finished

CF Montréal beat FC Cincinnati 3–1. Bawler's model had CF Montréal in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. CF Montréal had 15 shots (5 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 18 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 2.0.

CF MontréalFull-time statsFC Cincinnati
45%Possession55%
2.1Expected goals (xG)2.0
15Shots18
5Shots on target4
9Shots inside box11
3Big chances4
4Corners6
3Saves2
8Fouls7
2Offsides0
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCF Montréal or draw 63%CF Montréal won (39% called)
Total goals3.44
Both teams to score66%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 85%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

Goal before half-time86%
2 or more goals85%
CF Montréal to score82%
FC Cincinnati to score81%
3 or more goals66%
Both teams score66%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

CF MontréalCF MontréalFC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
1.7Goals1.7
18.6Shots14.6
6.0On target6.5
5.7Corners5.2
CF MontréalCF MontréalFC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
1.1Goals0.9
8.6Shots6.6
2.9On target3.0
2.7Corners2.4
CF MontréalCF MontréalFC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
0.6Goals0.7
10.0Shots8.0
3.2On target3.6
3.0Corners2.8

Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

CF Montréal
66%
to score before half-time
FC Cincinnati
60%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

CF MontréalCF MontréalFC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
58%8+ shots35%
37%10+ shots17%
74%2+ shots on target75%
33%4+ shots on target34%
70%2+ corners65%
29%4+ corners25%

League position

FC Cincinnati in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Mar 2026FC Cincinnati 4–3 CF Montréal
Oct 2025FC Cincinnati 3–0 CF Montréal
Jun 2025CF Montréal 1–3 FC Cincinnati
Aug 2024FC Cincinnati 4–1 CF Montréal
Apr 2024CF Montréal 2–1 FC Cincinnati
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won CF Montréal vs FC Cincinnati?

CF Montréal beat FC Cincinnati 3–1. Bawler's model had CF Montréal in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. CF Montréal had 15 shots (5 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 18 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 2.0.

What was the final score in CF Montréal vs FC Cincinnati?

CF Montréal 3–1 FC Cincinnati, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with CF Montréal 39%, the draw 24% and FC Cincinnati 37%.

What were the stats in CF Montréal vs FC Cincinnati?

Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–2.0, Shots 15–18, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 9–11, Big chances 3–4, Corners 4–6, Saves 3–2, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in CF Montréal vs FC Cincinnati?

Yes — both CF Montréal and FC Cincinnati scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for CF Montréal vs FC Cincinnati right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said CF Montréal or draw 63%, it finished CF Montréal won (39% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 66%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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