CF Montréal beat FC Cincinnati 3–1. Bawler's model had CF Montréal in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. CF Montréal had 15 shots (5 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 18 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 2.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
CF Montréal beat FC Cincinnati 3–1. Bawler's model had CF Montréal in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. CF Montréal had 15 shots (5 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 18 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 2.0.
CF Montréal 3–1 FC Cincinnati, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with CF Montréal 39%, the draw 24% and FC Cincinnati 37%.
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–2.0, Shots 15–18, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 9–11, Big chances 3–4, Corners 4–6, Saves 3–2, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 2–2.
Yes — both CF Montréal and FC Cincinnati scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said CF Montréal or draw 63%, it finished CF Montréal won (39% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 66%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.