Celtic vs Falkirk prediction — Scottish Prem · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK

Scottish Prem · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK
Celtic 71Draw 18Falkirk 11
The call
71%
Celtic to win
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Celtic beat Falkirk 2–1. Bawler's model had Celtic in front at 71% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Celtic had 19 shots (8 on target) to Falkirk's 5 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 0.5.

CelticFull-time statsFalkirk
56%Possession44%
2.9Expected goals (xG)0.5
19Shots5
8Shots on target1
13Shots inside box3
6Big chances1
6Corners3
1Saves6
7Fouls14
2Offsides3
1Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCeltic 71%Celtic (71% called)
Total goals3.33
Both teams to score52%Yes
Model callHome Win 71%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Celtic to score91%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

CelticBefore half-timeFalkirk
64%Chance to score26%
7.5Expected shots3.7
2.8Expected shots on target1.3
2.8Expected corners1.6
73%Chance of 6+ shots19%
47%Chance of 8+ shots5%
65%Chance of 2+ shots on target36%
31%Chance of 4+ shots on target4%
75%Chance of 2+ corners47%
32%Chance of 4+ corners10%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 74%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5CEL 5 · D 0 · FAL 0
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Apr 2026Celtic 3–1 Falkirk
Feb 2026Celtic 2–0 Falkirk
Jan 2026Falkirk 0–1 Celtic
Oct 2025Celtic 4–0 Falkirk
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Celtic vs Falkirk?

Celtic beat Falkirk 2–1. Bawler's model had Celtic in front at 71% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Celtic had 19 shots (8 on target) to Falkirk's 5 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Celtic vs Falkirk?

Celtic 2–1 Falkirk, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Celtic 71%, the draw 18% and Falkirk 11%.

What were the stats in Celtic vs Falkirk?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–0.5, Shots 19–5, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 13–3, Big chances 6–1, Corners 6–3, Saves 1–6, Fouls 7–14, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 1–4.

Did both teams score in Celtic vs Falkirk?

Yes — both Celtic and Falkirk scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Celtic vs Falkirk right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Celtic 71%, it finished Celtic (71% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Home Win 71%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Celtic form →Falkirk form →