FT · EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification · Wednesday, 19 August 2026
Celtic 3–0 LASK LinzMatch recap & how our call landed · Wednesday, 19 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Celtic to win at 78%. Bawler had Celtic at 78%, the draw at 15% and LASK Linz at 7%. The match finished 3–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Celtic win
78%
Result
Draw
15%
LASK Linz win
7%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.6 – 0.7
Total 3.3
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (−0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 3.3.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Celtic or draw
Pre-match: 93%
Landed
Outside shot
LASK Linz or draw
Pre-match: 22%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.