Alanyaspor beat Caykur Rizespor 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Caykur Rizespor at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Alanyaspor 24%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Caykur Rizespor had 21 shots (5 on target) to Alanyaspor's 9 (2), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Alanyaspor beat Caykur Rizespor 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Caykur Rizespor at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Alanyaspor 24%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Caykur Rizespor had 21 shots (5 on target) to Alanyaspor's 9 (2), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.1.
Caykur Rizespor 0–1 Alanyaspor, played on 07 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Caykur Rizespor 50%, the draw 26% and Alanyaspor 24%.
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–2.1, Shots 21–9, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 8–6, Big chances 2–4, Corners 8–7, Saves 1–5, Fouls 8–15, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
No. It finished 0–1, so Caykur Rizespor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Caykur Rizespor or draw 76%, it finished Alanyaspor won (24% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.