What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Cardiff City vs Stoke City?
Bawler's model rates this match: Cardiff City are favoured (42% win probability vs 30% for Stoke City, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff City vs Stoke City?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Cardiff City 1-1 Stoke City (13.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.66.
How does Bawler predict Cardiff City vs Stoke City?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Cardiff City 42%, the draw 27% and Stoke City 30%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Cardiff City vs Stoke City?
BTTS: Yes (54% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.46 and away expected goals 1.20.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Cardiff City vs Stoke City?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.66. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).