FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Cardiff CityMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Blackburn Rovers or draw at 69%. Bawler had Blackburn Rovers at 42%, the draw at 26% and Cardiff City at 31%. The match finished 2–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Blackburn Rovers win
42%
Result
Draw
26%
Cardiff City win
31%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.3
Total 2.9
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.7 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 2.9.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Blackburn Rovers or draw
Pre-match: 69%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 33%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.