FT · Italy: Serie A · Tuesday, 27 October 2026
AS Roma 4–2 CagliariMatch recap · Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
AS Roma win
64%
Result
Draw
22%
Cagliari win
14%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 0.8
Total 2.9
Actual
4 – 2
Total 6 (+3.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.0 – 2.4
From the match itself
The match produced 3.1 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.