Bristol City beat Portsmouth 2–1. Bawler's model had Bristol City in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Bristol City had 9 shots (3 on target) to Portsmouth's 14 (1), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 0.6 to 1.4, so Portsmouth created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 66%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Bristol City beat Portsmouth 2–1. Bawler's model had Bristol City in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Bristol City had 9 shots (3 on target) to Portsmouth's 14 (1), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 0.6 to 1.4, so Portsmouth created the better chances and still lost the game.
Bristol City 2–1 Portsmouth, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bristol City 40%, the draw 28% and Portsmouth 32%.
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.4, Shots 9–14, Shots on target 3–1, Shots inside box 6–8, Big chances 3–1, Corners 3–10, Saves 0–1, Fouls 15–6, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 3–0.
Yes — both Bristol City and Portsmouth scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Bristol City 40%, it finished Bristol City (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 73%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.