How it finished
Paris Saint-Germain beat Brest 1–0. Bawler's model had Paris Saint-Germain in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Brest had 16 shots (5 on target) to Paris Saint-Germain's 15 (7), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.2, so Brest created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Brest vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Paris Saint-Germain beat Brest 1–0. Bawler's model had Paris Saint-Germain in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Brest had 16 shots (5 on target) to Paris Saint-Germain's 15 (7), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.2, so Brest created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Brest vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Brest 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Brest 19%, the draw 23% and Paris Saint-Germain 58%.
What were the stats in Brest vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.2, Shots 16–15, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 8–9, Big chances 3–2, Corners 3–2, Saves 6–6, Fouls 13–7, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Brest vs Paris Saint-Germain?
No. It finished 0–1, so Brest failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Brest vs Paris Saint-Germain right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Paris Saint-Germain or draw 81%, it finished Paris Saint-Germain won (58% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed.