We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if AZ Alkmaar win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)Expected goals
1.8v1.1
2.9 in totalBoth teams score
55%
Leans yes3+ goals
56%
Leans likelyWhat we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
1.8Goals1.1
17.4Shots6.2
6.9On target4.2
7.5Corners1.0
1.0Goals0.5
7.6Shots2.8
3.0On target1.9
3.5Corners0.5
0.8Goals0.6
9.7Shots3.4
3.9On target2.3
4.0Corners0.5
What we said the chances were
AZ Alkmaar to score84%
2 or more goals79%
Goal before half-time77%
3 goals or fewer67%
Hapoel Be'er to score66%
First half — what we expected
63%
to score before half-time
38%
to score before half-time
First half — what we expected
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
59%7+ shots<10%
36%9+ shots<10%
76%2+ shots on target53%
35%4+ shots on target15%
64%3+ corners<10%
29%5+ corners<10%
League position
Hapoel Be'er in their league tableTop quarter
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →
Around this fixture
Eredivisie table →AZ Alkmaar
Before this
10 OctA0–2 L20 SeptH1–0 W16 SeptA0–1 LNext up
18 OctA2–2 D22 OctA4–0 W25 OctH0–2 LCommon questions
Who won AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er?
AZ Alkmaar beat Hapoel Be'er 2–1.
What was the final score in AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er?
AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Hapoel Be'er, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with AZ Alkmaar 55%, the draw 24% and Hapoel Be'er 21%.
Did both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er?
Yes — both AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Be'er scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.