FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Feyenoord Rotterdam 2–0 AZ AlkmaarMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw at 74%. Bawler had Feyenoord Rotterdam at 50%, the draw at 23% and AZ Alkmaar at 26%. The match finished 2–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Feyenoord Rotterdam win
50%
Result
Draw
23%
AZ Alkmaar win
26%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.3
Total 3.3
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−1.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.2 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced 1.3 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 84%
Landed
Medium confidence
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win
Pre-match: 50%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.